Market Details

Politics

Ghislaine Maxwell pardoned

LMSR Market by owen | Created 2/19/2026

Active Market

YES

27.4%

$0.28/share

NO

72.6%

$0.73/share

Market Info

Liquidity (b): 100

Total Bets: $14019.39

Initial Prob: 12%

Market Maker: owen

All Positions

g3ri

3000.00 YES13000.10 NO

Tuffbraham4167

11101.00 YES

Geo

1000.00 NO

newjersey

1.00 YES

Event Specification

LLM-parsed market details

Summary

Ghislaine Maxwell will receive a federal pardon by the end of 2026

Resolution Criteria

YES if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon (or full commutation that effectively functions as a pardon) from the President by 11:59 PM Eastern Time on December 31, 2026. This requires official announcement and documentation from the White House and/or Department of Justice confirming the pardon has been granted. NO if no such pardon is issued by the deadline.

Data Source

White House official announcements, Department of Justice press releases, major news sources (AP, Reuters, NPR), Bureau of Prisons records

Market Close Date

12/31/2026, 11:59:00 PM

Trading stops at this time

Resolution Date

1/1/2027, 12:00:00 PM

Price History