Market Details

Politics

Gavin Newsom wins democratic primary

LMSR Market by Tuffbraham4167 | Created 2/28/2026

Active Market

YES

37.0%

$0.37/share

NO

63.0%

$0.63/share

Market Info

Liquidity (b): 100

Total Bets: $0.00

Initial Prob: 37%

Market Maker: Tuffbraham4167

Event Specification

LLM-parsed market details

Summary

Gavin Newsom will be selected as the Democratic nominee at the 2028 Democratic National Convention

Resolution Criteria

Gavin Newsom will be selected as the official Democratic presidential nominee at the 2028 Democratic National Convention. YES if Newsom is nominated on the convention floor or through any official nominating process. NO if any other candidate receives the Democratic nomination.

Data Source

2028 Democratic National Convention official records, AP, Reuters, major news sources

Market Close Date

8/1/2028, 12:00:00 AM

Trading stops at this time

Resolution Date

8/20/2028, 12:00:00 PM

Price History