Summary
The winner of the 2028 U.S. presidential election will cut off all military aid to Israel within 100 days of taking office on January 20, 2029
Resolution Criteria
YES if, within 100 days of the new president's inauguration (January 20, 2029 through April 29, 2029), the president issues an executive order, signs legislation, or takes another definitive official action to terminate all U.S. military aid programs to Israel. This includes both permanent termination and indefinite suspension/pause announced as a policy action. NO if no such action is taken within the 100-day period, or if aid is only reduced/conditioned rather than completely cut off.
Data Source
White House official statements, Executive Order database, State Department foreign aid records, major news outlets (AP, Reuters, NPR, NYT)
Market Close Date
1/20/2029, 12:00:00 AM
Trading stops at this time
Resolution Date
5/1/2029, 12:00:00 PM