Market Details

Weather

This will be the hottest spring on record in the northeast, beginning on march 1 and ending May 31

LMSR Market by Quirky-Robert | Created 3/7/2026

Active Market

YES

29.6%

$0.30/share

NO

70.4%

$0.72/share

Market Info

Liquidity (b): 200

Total Bets: $0.01

Initial Prob: 15%

Market Maker: Quirky-Robert

Event Specification

LLM-parsed market details

Summary

Spring 2026 (March 1 - May 31) will be the hottest on record in the entire Northeast region (New England and Mid-Atlantic states combined)

Resolution Criteria

Compare the average temperature for meteorological spring 2026 (March 1 - May 31) across the entire Northeast region (New England: Maine, Vermont, New Hampshire, Massachusetts, Rhode Island, Connecticut; and Mid-Atlantic: New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania) against all historical spring temperature records for this same region. YES if 2026 spring is strictly warmer than any previous spring on record. NO if any previous spring had equal or higher average temperature.

Data Source

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI) Climate Data Online, Northeast Regional Climate Center (NRCC) NOWData, National Weather Service regional climate offices

Market Close Date

3/9/2026, 10:59:00 PM

Trading stops at this time

Resolution Date

6/2/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Price History