Market Details

Politics

The new ayatollah dies by the end of 2026.

LMSR Market by Geo | Created 3/14/2026

Active Market

YES

80.3%

$0.81/share

NO

19.7%

$0.20/share

Market Info

Liquidity (b): 100

Total Bets: $70.86

Initial Prob: 60%

Market Maker: Geo

All Positions

g3ri

100.00 YES

Event Specification

LLM-parsed market details

Summary

Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei dies by December 31, 2026

Resolution Criteria

YES if credible news sources (AP, Reuters, BBC, major international news outlets) report that Mojtaba Khamenei has died on or before December 31, 2026. NO if he survives until January 1, 2027.

Data Source

Major international news outlets (AP, Reuters, BBC, CNN, etc.), official Iranian government statements

Market Close Date

12/31/2026, 11:59:00 PM

Trading stops at this time

Resolution Date

1/1/2027, 12:00:00 PM

Price History